“Blue” by The Seatbelts from “Cowboy Bebop Blue” album Lesus messiah ut, me decantus Lesus messiah ut, me decantus Lesus messiah ut, me decantus Lesus messiah ut, me decantus Never seen a bluer sky Yeah, I can feel it reaching out And moving closer There's something about blue Asked myself what it's all for You know, the funny thing about it I couldn't answer No, I couldn't answer Things have turned a deeper shade of blue And images that might be real Maybe illusion Keep flashing off and on Free Wanna be free Gonna be free And move among the stars You know, they really aren't so far Feels so free Gotta know free Please Don't wake me from the dream It's really everything it seemed I'm so free No black and white in the blue Everything is clearer now Life is just a dream, you know That's never-ending I'm ascending
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Dragon Dunes of Saint George
Veitnow: Afghanistan and the U.S.
An editorial plea to our fellow American citizens to recognize a most grievous atrocity committed in our name .
A tragic comedy of errors is unfolding and the U.S. citizen is the punchline. After twenty years of war and occupation, the total cost in lives of the war in Afghanistan (as of April 2021) is 2,448 American Service Members and 3,836 U.S. contractors (as reported by the AP and using data gathered by Harvard University’s Kennedy School and from the Brown University.)
The capital costs, based on official data as reported by the BBC is an estimated $822bn (spent between 2001 and 2019). This estimate does not include expenses accrued in Pakistan, which the U.S. used as a base of operations during the Afghan-conflict.
And what did the U.S. secure after all this? “Guarantees and enforcement mechanisms that will prevent the use of the soil of Afghanistan by any group or individual against the security of the United States and its allies.” A grantee secured from an organization that the US does not even recognize. The ceasefire agreement refers to the other party simply as “the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan which is not recognized by the United States as a state and is known as the Taliban.”
The U.S. tax payer will be paying for this “war” for generations to come, receiving in return a guarantee from an organization we do not recognize and are told not to trust. Does this seem right to you? More glaringly, American families paid the ultimate price, the lives of loved ones they will never see again.
According to the Council of Foreign Relations “The [Taliban] has withstood counterinsurgency operations from the world’s most powerful security alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and three U.S. administrations in a war that has killed more than 6,000 U.S. troops and contractors”
After all that, it estimated that the Taliban, has between fifty-eight thousand to one-hundred thousand full-time fighters and that it is stronger now than at any point in the last twenty years. Add to that, the United Nations recently reported that the Taliban still maintains a strong alliance with al-Qaeda.
The UN further reports the Taliban still receives resources and training from al-Qaeda in exchange for protection. An estimated two hundred to five hundred al-Qaeda fighters are thought to be in Afghanistan with leaders believed to be based in regions along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.
As of this writing, the Taliban have retaken most of, and are on the verge of securing all of Afghanistan, with the terms of the ceasefire all but broken. The Taliban are stronger now than when NATO invaded.
One need look no further as to the comedy in this tragedy then to read reports concerning the Taliban’s capture of the Kunduz Airport this week. It is reported that upon overrunning the airport the Taliban seized billions of dollars in U.S. military equipment including MaxPro Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles, ScanEagle drones and Humvees. U.S. tax dollars just went toward supplying the Taliban and possibly al-Qaeda with state of the art military equipment.
Was it all worth it?
In future essays we hope to explore that question along with several others. How did we get here? What were the true costs (sunk costs and ongoing future costs) of the war? What are the geopolitical ramifications? What will come of Afghanistan?
From Veitnow by Rage Against the Machine ”Terror's tha product ya push Well I'm a truth addict, oh shit I gotta headrush Tha sheep tremble an here come tha votes“
Falling Sugar Maple Leaf
Praxis Thinking Supports the Principles of the Electronic Frontier Alliance
As a non-member organization we support the EFA, we believe that technology should support the intellectual freedom at the heart of a democratic society. In the digital age, that entails advancing:
Free Expression
People should be able to speak their minds to whoever will listen.
Security
Technology should be trustworthy and answer to its users.
Privacy
Technology should allow private and anonymous speech, and allow users to set their own parameters about what to share with whom.
Creativity
Technology should promote progress by allowing people to build on the ideas, creations, and inventions of others.
Access to Knowledge
Curiosity should be rewarded, not stifled.
We uphold these principles by fighting for transparency and freedom in culture, code, and law.
Where is Mahabodhi?
Mahāsiddha Tilopā: “Six Words of Advice” for abiding in non-dual continuum of clear light:
Let go of what has passed. Let go of what may come. Let go of what is happening. Do not try and figure anything out. Do not try and control anything. Relax, right now, and rest in the radiant luminescent coalescence of emptiness and appearance.
Charlie Munger: 24 (22) causes of human misjudgment
List of key bias per Munger:
Where a “cognitive bias is a systematic pattern of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment. Individuals create their own “subjective reality” from their perception of the input”
Video of full speech: 1hr16m (Youtube)
Transcript (www.fs.blog)
- Under recognition of incentives (reinforcement)
- Psychological denial
- Incentive-cause bias, “agency costs”
- Bias from consistency and commitment tendency
- Bias from Pavlovian association
- Bias from reciprocation tendency
- “What you do will change what you think”
- Bias from over influence of social proof
- Elegant math
- ”Better to be roughly right than precisely wrong” – John Maynard Keynes
- Bias from contrast caused distortions of sensation, perception and cognition
- ”Cognition mimics sensation”
- Bias from over-influence by authority
- Bias from deprival, super-reaction syndrome – including threatened removal of something almost possessed
- Bias from envy/jealousy
- “It’s not greed that drives the world but envy” – Warren Buffet
- Bias from chemical dependency
- “The tendency to distort reality so that it’s endurable”
- Bias from mis-gambling compulsion
- Bias from liking distortion (reciprocal: disliking distortion)
- Bias from non-mathematical nature of the human brain… tendency to overweigh conveniently available information
- ”All the things on this list distort judgement”
- Bias from over-influence by vivid evidence
- Mental confusion caused by information not arrayed in the mind and theory structures, creating sound generalizations developed in response to the question “Why”
- “If you want to persuade someone tell them the “Why”
- Normal limitations of sensation, memory, cognition and knowledge
- Stress-induced mental changes
- Mental illness and decline
- Organizational confusion from say-something syndrome
- “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.” Blaise Pascal
The setting sun
A tree line of pines encroaching shadowy line a sunset divine